Military servicemen and political experts Oleksandr Musiienko and Taras Berezovets explained where the alarmist articles in Western media about a Russian offensive on Odesa and other regions are coming from, and whether they reflect reality, according to Politeka.
They discussed the topic on the podcast "After the War."
As Taras Berezovets notes, a recent article by the chief international security analyst at the Financial Times painted a negative outlook for Ukraine, predicting a Russian offensive on Odesa. According to Berezovets, the article cited former EU leaders and included an alarmist claim that Putin is targeting Odesa and that the city could be in danger within a few months.
"However, there are absolutely no signs that Russia is preparing such an offensive. The Russians are incapable of conducting amphibious operations — the majority of their landing ships have been destroyed. They have neither the means nor the capacity, even if they wanted to. At this point, they are unable to enter Right-Bank Ukraine, and there are no indications that they are preparing for such an operation. So the question is — what was the Financial Times conclusion based on?" Berezovets states.
According to Oleksandr Musiienko, in reality, there have been a number of reports — including from The Telegraph, the Institute for the Study of War, and others — that indicate the Russian offensive is stalling and being repelled. The Financial Times article, he believes, is likely a subjective opinion. He explains that some may have expected the summer offensive by Russian forces to be much more significant — that they would break through the front lines and advance tens of kilometers — especially as the situation has been heavily hyped and Russia is pulling in reserves.
"This started back in February. It's not the first such publication. Since February, there has been this kind of assessment — particularly because Donald Trump became President of the United States. Especially after February 28, after the White House meeting, various forecasts emerged, including the most apocalyptic ones. And some people, perhaps, lean into this kind of alarmist rhetoric, which presupposes that the situation should be evaluated this way," Musiienko explains.
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